I think you all are missing one point.
There are 3 criteria for making the chase
1. Winner / High points among non winners to fill out 16 car field
2. Must be in top 30 of points overall
3. Must attempt to qualify for and race in all races in which they qualify.
NASCAR is only waiving number three. What are the odds a driver can make the top 30 in points after missing 10 races or more? Pretty slim regardless of how many races they win.
There are 3 criteria for making the chase
1. Winner / High points among non winners to fill out 16 car field
2. Must be in top 30 of points overall
3. Must attempt to qualify for and race in all races in which they qualify.
NASCAR is only waiving number three. What are the odds a driver can make the top 30 in points after missing 10 races or more? Pretty slim regardless of how many races they win.

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